Hayato Matsuoka vs Oscar Jose Gutierrez Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In their recent performances, Matsuoka slightly outperforms Gutierrez in second serve points, winning 42.1% compared to Gutierrez's 41.83%. Could this minor difference impact the match outcome? It could, given its strong correlation to winning predictions.
• Matsuoka has a notable edge in return games, securing 46.72% of their opponent’s second serve points against Gutierrez’s 42.7%. This is also visible on first serve returns, with Matsuoka at 31.52% and Gutierrez at 29.5%.
• Under pressure, Matsuoka shows stronger breakpoint resilience, saving 52.51% of breakpoints, compared to 43.78% by Gutierrez.
• Recently, Gutierrez has a slightly better match win rate of 57.33% over the last year, while Matsuoka is at 55.93%.
• Surface performance reveals strengths, with Matsuoka excelling on Hard courts (59% win rate) and Gutierrez on Clay (60% win rate). Is this match being played on their preferred surface? If it's Clay, Gutierrez might have an advantage.
• Player level competition shows both have similar performance in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, with Matsuoka winning 61.54% and Gutierrez winning 60% of their matches.
• Gutierrez has faced stronger opponents recently, with an average rank of 230.05, compared to Matsuoka's opposition at 418.98.
• In deciding sets, Gutierrez has proven more successful, clinching 53% of them, outpacing Matsuoka's 40% win rate.
• Both players exhibit similar break point conversion rates, with Matsuoka at 33.75% and Gutierrez at 33.63%.

Editorial Prediction (May 14, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing recent performance stats, Matsuoka showcases slightly better second serve and return game statistics, which are key predictive indicators of match outcomes.

However, Gutierrez demonstrates superiority in dealing with stronger opponents and has a better performance rate in deciding sets.

Given the event's surface, if it's not on Gutierrez's favored Clay, it might even the playing field.

Overall, considering Gutierrez’s success against tougher opponents and his better decisive set record, he is the likely winner of this matchup.